今天有点晚了，突然中午才想到要不今年每天更新下，我自己每天也看这点位交易，不是投资建议，有兴趣的看看乐子，做做日内。不知道会不会挖坟，但目前想着每天更新。
2/26/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/26/26
Watch how NVDA moves after open, might be some profit taking or sell since on the technical side, it’s at a balance top.
R: 25610
R: 25540
R: 25510 - 2515
R: 25495
R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25400 - 25420
R: 25360
R: 25330
R: 25260 - 25275
R: 25210
R: 25165 - 25177
R→S (potentially if retest is held): 25120 - 25130 (Mainly 25124)
S: 25090
2/26/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/25/26
After 8 days of choppy range bound price action, it’s finally showing some pulse and so far seems like choosing to go up, but still need to be cautious and chop might continue given NVDA’S ER today after close.
Took out 25124, for it to continue pushing higher, need to see if the level gets defended by rebids. Next R sitting at 25165 - 25177. Next R sitting at 25210, 25260 - 25275 where I expect there will be a lot of profit taking if we get there and potentially attract some reoffers to show up.
R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25400 - 25420
R: 25360
R: 25260 - 25275
R: 25210
R: 25165 - 25177
R→S (potentially if retest is held): 25120 - 25130 (Mainly 25124)
S: 25090
S: 25063
S: 25040
S: 24990 - 24996 (if lost, might go back to the chop range again)
S: 24970 (LIS if bids don’t want to be seen as a failed attempt to break out to the up side)
2/24/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/24/26
Same ol’ Shit…
NVDA ER after close tomorrow, might help the market finally pick a direction
2/23/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
Didn’t trade on Friday due to MOPEX
Still the levels are pretty much the same, nothing really changed? Kinda tired of this shit tbh lol.
Maybe add a couple of levels, but they mostly come from Sunday O/N session (Use levels from 2/18):
R: 25058
R: 25017
S: 24808
2/18/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/18/26
Not much to say, just approaching balance top, likely two-way tape, depending on where bids come in, one of those annoying spots right now. Pullbacks can be shallow as (re)bids come in higher potentially, but near the upper balance range where offers took it down, so reoffers likely to defend too.
R: 25180
R: 25125
R: 25085
R: 25040
R: 24996 (Strong R, LIS before it accesses upper volume gap at 25180) R: 24960
R: 24920
R: 24880
R: 24830 - 24840
R: 24785
R: 24707 - 24720 (Expect reoffers to come in)
R: 24670 - 24680
R: 24620 - 24640
S: 24575
S: 24545 (long LIS, opens door to 24430 if lost)
2/17/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/17/26
Just wide range-bound… jittery PA with higher vol.
R: 25107
R: 24996
R: 24960
R: 24920
R: 24880
R: 24830 - 24840
R: 24785
R: 24707 - 24720 (Expect reoffers to come in)
R: 24670 - 24680
R: 24620 - 24640
S: 24575
S: 24545 (long LIS, opens door to 24430 if lost)
2/12/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/12/26
Only minor changes, market sideway consolidating
R: 25720
R: 25650 - 25660
R: 25610
R: 25540 (LIS)
R: 25515 (PIVOT)
R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25420
R: 25375
S: 25276
S: 25223
S: 25165
S: 25145
S: 25060
2/12/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/11/26
R: 25720
R: 25650 - 25660
R: 25610
R: 25540 (LIS)
R: 25515 (PIVOT)
R: 25495
R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25420
R: 25375
S: 25276
S: 25223 (Needs to hold or it def see lower)
S: 25165
S: 25124
S: 25095
2/10/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/10/26
Weird spot to open… needs to make its mind. Either bids that reclaimed 25223 keeps bidding, or the offers move lower from 25515 and work it down…
Honestly don’t like days like this… too many important levels are close by and markets are indecisive, so the liquidity might not be too good for fills… (At least to me).
R: 25650 - 25660
R: 25610
R: 25540 (LIS)
R: 25515 (PIVOT)
R: 25450 - 25460
R: 25420
R: 25375
S: 25276
S: 25223 (Needs to hold or it def see lower)
S: 25165
S: 25124
S: 25095
2/9/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/9/26
Not whole a lot has changed since Friday, so the levels are pretty much the same with some minor tweaks.
Be patient and be nimble.
R: 25420
R: 25360
R: 25330
R: 25290
R: 25223
R: 25180
R: 25124
R: 25092
R: 25015 (O/N rebids)
R: 24957
R: 24918
R: 24860 - 24880
R: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24650
S: 24540
S: 24460
S: 24280
2/6/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/6/26
R: 25223
R: 25180
R: 25124
R: 25092
R: 25037
R: 24957
R: 24918
R: 24860 - 24880
R: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24650
S: 24540
S: 24460
S: 24280
2/5/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
超出这个范围就是超出我的认知了，一般就不会做了。
Technical wise, the selloff was a rejection of the top range of the balance again, on the weekly. Now it back to the bottom of the range around 25200.
Offers were pretty strong yesterday, pretty much no interest trying to bid until 25640 - 25660, then the offers chewed through all the bids and retested the low around 25230, where the prior rebids came out and at 25163.- It’s tricky because now the bias is obviously bearish with pivot at 25540, and LIS around 25640-25660, if want to try short. However, b/c it is near the balance range bottom, it is hard to maintain a b/o lower bias until sellers prove that they can decisively break the rebids of 25163 and even the low 25044, with the minor support at 25100. Otherwise it is like yesterday, treat it as a longer timeframe range-bound and it is now back to the low again…
Nonetheless, reoffers seem to moved lower from the pivot 25540 to 25510-25515, which is to sellers’ advantage, all depends on if they sustain the move lower.
R:25650
R: 25540 (PIVOT)
R: 25510 - 25515
R: 25490
R: 25460
R: 25420
R: 25360
S: 25330
S: 25230
S: 25163
S: 25100
S: 25040
2/3/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/3/26
Don’t particularly like today’s price action, too many levels and we are back to the weekly range top. Just like how it rejected auctioning below after Sunday’s open sell off, it’s a bit hard to just shoot out and breakout top as well.
Slight long bias and lean towards b/o above, but treat it as range until proven otherwise.
R: 26360
R: 26320
R: 26303
R: 26280
R: 26230
R: 26195 - 26210
R: 26175
R: 26120
R: 26095 - 26105
R: 26045
R: 26003 - 26020
S: 25945
S: 25926
S: 25905
S: 25837
S: 25818 (Rebids for 25845 )
S: 25797 (LIS for long)
2/2/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
2/2/26
Not sure what’s gonna happen, but short bias until key levels are reclaimed. 540, 650-660
R: 26197
R: 26174
R: 26095 - 26105
R: 26045
R: 26015
R: 25972
R: 25926
R: 25875 - 25900
R: 25835
R: 25797
R: 25750 - 25760
R: 25720
R: 25650 - 25660 (LIS for shorts)
R: 25540 (Pivot, reoffer expected)
S: 25460
S: 25420
S: 25395
S: 25350 - 25360
S: 25230
S: 25165
S: 25100
S: 25040
1/30/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/30/26
Didn’t see yesterday’s sell off coming, but I suppose it’s normal to rotate and rebalance after big tech ERs and FOMC (tho i havent looked into why yet).
R: 26197
R: 26174
R: 26095 - 26105
R: 26045
R: 26015
R: 25972
R: 25926
R: 25875 - 25900
R: 25845
S: 25797
S: 25750 - 25760
S: 25720
S: 25650 - 25660 (Rebids)
S: 25540
1/29/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/29/26
FOMC was much of a nothingburger… but market slowly grinding up. Lean towards initial rebalance based on tech earnings from yesterday then chop for more earnings result.
R: 26550
R: 26450 - 26525 (Trapped buyers)
R: 26420
R: 26360
R: 26320
R: 26300 - 26305
R: 26280 (Reoffer)
R: 26230
R: 26208
S: 26120
S: 26095 - 26105
S: 26045
S: 25970
S: 25926
1/28/26
1/28/26
No update on FOMC day, plus MSFT META TSLA earnings, no point to trade today.
1/27/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/27/26
Expecting a smaller range with FOMC starting today and I think the market might be waiting for the decision, so likely it won’t be too volatile.
R: 26374
R: 26362
R: 26272
R: 26132 - 26118
R: 26076
R: 26045
R→S: 25960 - 25970
S: 25940
R→S: 25926
S: 25870 - 25875
S: 25835
S: 25805
S: 25760
1/26/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/26/26
Not much has changed since Friday, O/N gapped lower but slowly grinded back to Friday’s range with low interest auctioning below.
R: 26000 - 26010
R: 25975 - 26010
R: 26940
R: 26926
R: 25870 - 25880
R: 25790 - 25805
R: 25760
R: 25740
R: 25720
R: 25700 - 25704
R: 25660
R: 25640
R: 25595 - 25600
S: 25540
S: 25490
S: 25420 - 25430
1/23/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/23/26
Didn’t change too much from yesterday’s levels, pretty much range bound, so only minor changes.
R: 26000 - 26010
R: 25975 - 26010
R: 26940
R: 26926
R: 25870 - 25880
R: 25790 - 25805
R: 25760
R: 25730
R: 25700 - 25704
R: 25660
R: 25640
R: 25600
S: 25540
S: 25490
S: 25420 - 25430
1/22/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/22/26
Disclaimer: back to prior week’s range, not going to be clean price action, treat levels with a grain of salt… I don’t like this range at all…
1/21/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/21/26
Nothing has really changed, need to see if the O/N break down was a fake out.
Still lean short until bids can reclaim pivot.
R: 25540
R: 25450 - 25470 (LIS for shorts) R: 25420 (PIVOT) R: 25395
R: 25310 - 25320
R: 25265
R: 25230 - 25245
R: 25165 - 25175 (Also WDVAL ipb now)
R: 25125 (Minor)
S: 25095 - 25108 (If this doesn’t hold and rebound, will lead to further downside)
S: 24985
S: 24880 - 24890
S: 24860
S: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24620
1/20/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/20/26
It’s been a long weekend to say the least. First day back, don’t rush into trade, let it build a bit and see where the bids/offers coming in.
Liquidity might be thin and given the higher volatility, so I planned more levels.
R: 25540
R: 25450 - 25470 (LIS for shorts) R: 25420 (PIVOT) R: 25395
R: 25310 - 25320
R: 25265
R: 25165 - 25175
S: 25095 - 25108 (If this doesn’t hold and rebound, will lead to further downside)
S: 24985
S: 24880 - 24890
S: 24860
S: 24820
S: 24780
S: 24720
S: 24680
S: 24620
1/14/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/14/26
Currently the bears have the advantage to push this lower b/c buyers failed to launch higher 3 times now at the high around 26000, and now some bids have been caught off the wrong side.
However, if the offers can’t push for a new low (larger TF has been forming HL), likely the buyers will take over again and retest the swing high around 26000.
Bears would want to defend heavily at 25926, and ideally should defend 25872 as well, we’ll see.
1/13/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/13/26
With benign CPI data, it shot up pre-market, but need to see if it can sustain it, or it’ll likely back to the range-bound chop fest…
1/12/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/12/26
有点晚，脑子不太清醒，take it easy.
1/9/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/9/26
Nothing really changed, still just range bound. Price poked 25570 during yesterday’s session but bids quicky came in and showed no interest transacting down there.
With SCOTUS expected to release some opinions on tariffs sometime today, expect there will be some short-lived volatility. Other than that and the premarket data release, I still expect just a ranged bound, choppy price action. Except maybe from the market open, it will still be the same ol same ol passive flows and jumpy price action, at least in NQ.
1/8/26
BucatiniCarbonara:
1/8/26
Too many levels now – the volume has built up so far isn’t very helpful anymore, it has gone back and forth too many times.
Will take the levels loosely, expect yet again, another choppy session. RIP.
1/7/26
[quote=“BucatiniCarbonara, post:8, topic:471966, full:true”]
1/7/26
Not so much has changed tbh, very much two-way tape, but mostly with passive buying pressure grinding up.
Coming up to multiple strong R zone, especially 25895 - 25965 where sellers pressed it down, and buyers has been failing to even meaningfully re-test it.
Still expect two-way choppy price action, with mostly active sell tape and passive buying pressure.
At this point, just depends on the data coming out this week, most importantly NFP data on Friday, since the Fed has shifted their priority to the unemployment side of the dual mandate, to maybe decide the next leg.
1/6/26
1/6/26
NQ is coiling up for the next leg. So right now I still think it’s range bound and will be more likely to mean revert. This will be my bias until it proves others.
1/5/26
1/5/26
5 个赞
Well, since I’m on a plane and bored. Let me share mine. You should be able to find some nice confluence with yours
1 个赞
今天我有点看不懂，所以不想更新误导。明天Mopex，我不做单，也不会更新。周一更新
